{"id":10928,"date":"2026-11-08T13:34:32","date_gmt":"2026-11-08T13:34:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/?p=10928"},"modified":"2026-11-08T13:34:34","modified_gmt":"2026-11-08T13:34:34","slug":"rutas-maritimas-mas-inestables-por-que-hoy-planificar-una-importacion-exige-mirar-mas-alla-del-flete","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/en\/rutas-maritimas-mas-inestables-por-que-hoy-planificar-una-importacion-exige-mirar-mas-alla-del-flete\/","title":{"rendered":"Rutas mar\u00edtimas m\u00e1s inestables: por qu\u00e9 hoy planificar una importaci\u00f3n exige mirar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del flete"},"content":{"rendered":"

08\/11\/26 – Los servicios regulares de contenedores cambian de una semana a otra mucho m\u00e1s que antes de la pandemia. Un an\u00e1lisis reciente le pone n\u00fameros a ese fen\u00f3meno y deja una conclusi\u00f3n clara para cualquier importador: la previsibilidad se volvi\u00f3 un activo.<\/em>

Un mercado que ya no repite su itinerario<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Durante a\u00f1os, el transporte mar\u00edtimo de contenedores funcion\u00f3 con una l\u00f3gica bastante estable: las navieras publicaban sus servicios y, salvo excepciones, los buques sal\u00edan y llegaban con una regularidad que permit\u00eda planificar con semanas de anticipaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Desde 2020 eso cambi\u00f3. Hoy es habitual que una salida programada se cancele (lo que el sector llama blank sailing<\/em>), que un servicio se incorpore o se levante de un mes para otro, que un buque demorado termine operando en la semana siguiente o que aparezcan buques extra, no previstos, para absorber picos de carga (extra-loaders<\/em>). Cada uno de estos movimientos, por separado, parece un detalle operativo. Juntos, cambian por completo la forma de planificar una importaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Los n\u00fameros detr\u00e1s de la inestabilidad<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

La consultora danesa Sea-Intelligence midi\u00f3 cu\u00e1nto var\u00eda semana a semana la cantidad de servicios ofrecidos en las principales rutas de larga distancia, y compar\u00f3 el per\u00edodo 2020-2026 con el de 2013-2019. Para que la comparaci\u00f3n fuera justa entre rutas de distinto tama\u00f1o, expres\u00f3 esa variaci\u00f3n en relaci\u00f3n con el promedio de servicios de cada corredor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El resultado muestra un aumento de la inestabilidad en todas las rutas analizadas:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ruta<\/th>Aumento de la inestabilidad semanal vs. prepandemia<\/th><\/tr>
Asia \u2013 Norte de Europa<\/td>+78%<\/td><\/tr>
Asia \u2013 Mediterr\u00e1neo<\/td>+71%<\/td><\/tr>
Asia \u2013 Costa Oeste de Norteam\u00e9rica<\/td>+48%<\/td><\/tr>
Asia \u2013 Costa Este de Norteam\u00e9rica<\/td>+26%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Las conexiones entre Asia y Europa son las m\u00e1s afectadas. El Transpac\u00edfico tambi\u00e9n se volvi\u00f3 m\u00e1s inestable, aunque seg\u00fan el estudio absorbi\u00f3 las perturbaciones algo mejor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00bfY la ruta China \u2013 Argentina?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

El an\u00e1lisis no incluye los servicios entre Asia y la costa este de Sudam\u00e9rica, as\u00ed que no hay una cifra espec\u00edfica para nuestra ruta. Pero ser\u00eda un error leerlo como un problema ajeno.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Las navieras operan redes globales: los mismos buques, las mismas alianzas y las mismas decisiones de capacidad atraviesan todos los corredores. Cuando una ruta principal se desordena, los barcos se reposicionan, se reasignan espacios y se ajustan rotaciones, y esos movimientos terminan sinti\u00e9ndose tambi\u00e9n en tr\u00e1ficos como el nuestro. Quien importa desde China lo vio en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os en forma de reprogramaciones, cambios de transbordo y tiempos de tr\u00e1nsito que se estiran sin aviso.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El efecto menos visible: la congesti\u00f3n en destino<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Sea-Intelligence advierte que esta inestabilidad complica la planificaci\u00f3n de las cadenas de suministro de los due\u00f1os de la carga, pero pone el foco en otro punto: los puertos de destino.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cuando la llegada de buques y contenedores sube y baja de forma constante, los puertos reciben picos de actividad que no esperaban. Eso aumenta el riesgo de congesti\u00f3n repentina, y la congesti\u00f3n genera un efecto en cadena: m\u00e1s tiempo de espera para los buques, itinerarios menos confiables y tr\u00e1nsitos m\u00e1s largos para la mercader\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para el importador, eso se traduce en cosas muy concretas: mercader\u00eda que llega tarde para una temporada, contenedores que acumulan d\u00edas de almacenaje o de demora, costos que no estaban en la cotizaci\u00f3n original y un flujo de caja que se desacomoda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qu\u00e9 puede hacer el importador<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

No hay forma de controlar la red global de las navieras, pero s\u00ed de gestionar mejor el riesgo:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Planificar con margen.<\/strong>\u00a0Un tr\u00e1nsito “normal” ya no es una garant\u00eda. Conviene trabajar con plazos que contemplen reprogramaciones.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Asegurar espacio con anticipaci\u00f3n.<\/strong>\u00a0Confirmar la reserva temprano reduce la exposici\u00f3n a cancelaciones y a la falta de espacio en semanas de alta demanda.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Mirar el costo total, no solo el flete.<\/strong>\u00a0El flete mar\u00edtimo es una parte del costo. Almacenaje, demoras, gastos en destino y transporte interno pueden cambiar el resultado de la operaci\u00f3n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Tener alternativas.<\/strong>\u00a0En algunos casos, combinar mar\u00edtimo hasta un puerto chileno y cami\u00f3n hasta Argentina permite ganar flexibilidad cuando los servicios directos se complican.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Seguir el embarque de cerca.<\/strong>\u00a0Detectar a tiempo un cambio de buque o de transbordo permite reaccionar antes de que el problema llegue al puerto.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    C\u00f3mo lo trabajamos en JPEV<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    En un mercado donde el itinerario cambia de una semana a otra, lo que m\u00e1s valoran nuestros clientes es saber de antemano cu\u00e1nto les va a costar realmente su operaci\u00f3n, desde el origen hasta su dep\u00f3sito. Ese es el centro de nuestro trabajo: cotizaciones que reflejan el costo real puesto en destino, seguimiento cercano de cada embarque y alternativas de ruta, terrestres, mar\u00edtimas y multimodales v\u00eda Chile, para cuando el camino habitual se complica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Todo bajo un sistema de gesti\u00f3n de calidad certificado IRAM-ISO 9001:2015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Si est\u00e1s planificando importaciones para los pr\u00f3ximos meses, escribinos y lo analizamos juntos:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Mail: hfe@jpevlogistics.com<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    WhatsApp: +54 9 11 2331-0171<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    08\/11\/26 – Los servicios regulares de contenedores cambian de una semana a otra mucho m\u00e1s que antes de la pandemia. Un an\u00e1lisis reciente le pone n\u00fameros a ese fen\u00f3meno y deja una conclusi\u00f3n clara para cualquier importador: la previsibilidad se volvi\u00f3 un activo. Un mercado que ya no repite su itinerario Durante a\u00f1os, el transporte […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":10929,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sin-categoria"],"yoast_head":"\nRutas mar\u00edtimas m\u00e1s inestables: por qu\u00e9 hoy planificar una importaci\u00f3n exige mirar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del flete - JPEV Logistics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/en\/rutas-maritimas-mas-inestables-por-que-hoy-planificar-una-importacion-exige-mirar-mas-alla-del-flete\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rutas mar\u00edtimas m\u00e1s inestables: por qu\u00e9 hoy planificar una importaci\u00f3n exige mirar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del flete - JPEV Logistics\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"08\/11\/26 – Los servicios regulares de contenedores cambian de una semana a otra mucho m\u00e1s que antes de la pandemia. 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