{"id":9904,"date":"2026-04-06T19:56:53","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T19:56:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/?p=9904"},"modified":"2026-04-06T19:56:54","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T19:56:54","slug":"impacto-de-la-crisis-en-el-golfo-persico-podria-extenderse-rapidamente-a-las-cadenas-de-suministro-globales","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/en\/impacto-de-la-crisis-en-el-golfo-persico-podria-extenderse-rapidamente-a-las-cadenas-de-suministro-globales\/","title":{"rendered":"Impacto de la crisis en el Golfo P\u00e9rsico podr\u00eda extenderse r\u00e1pidamente a las cadenas de suministro globales"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>06\/04\/2026 &#8211; Propietarios de carga pueden verse afectados por retrasos, congesti\u00f3n portuaria y el aumento de las tarifas de flete<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El transporte mar\u00edtimo de contenedores enfrenta un nuevo foco de incertidumbre tras el recrudecimiento del conflicto en el Golfo P\u00e9rsico, en un contexto en que las tarifas&nbsp;<em>spot&nbsp;<\/em>comienzan a mostrar se\u00f1ales de recuperaci\u00f3n en determinadas rutas y las disrupciones log\u00edsticas amenazan con extenderse a las cadenas de suministro a nivel global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"798\" height=\"598\" src=\"https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Golfo-tarifas-.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9905\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Golfo-tarifas-.jpeg 798w, https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Golfo-tarifas--300x225.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Golfo-tarifas--768x576.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/jpevlogistics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Golfo-tarifas--16x12.jpeg 16w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 798px) 100vw, 798px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>De acuerdo con el \u00edndice Drewry World Container Index (WCI), el valor promedio del flete&nbsp;<em>spot&nbsp;<\/em>aument\u00f3 3% hasta US$1.958\/FEU, impulsado principalmente por el encarecimiento de los servicios en la ruta Transpac\u00edfico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En contraste, las rutas entre Asia y Europa contin\u00faan bajo presi\u00f3n. Las tarifas Shangh\u00e1i\u2013R\u00f3terdam cayeron 2% hasta US$2.052\/FEU, mientras que Shanghai\u2013G\u00e9nova registraron un leve aumento de 1% hasta US$2.844\/FEU. Sin embargo, el retorno gradual de la producci\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica tras el A\u00f1o Nuevo chino podr\u00eda modificar esta tendencia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seg\u00fan&nbsp;<em>Drewry<\/em>, en la ruta Transpac\u00edfico se observa un comportamiento din\u00e1mico. Las tarifas desde Shanghai a Los \u00c1ngeles subieron 10% hasta US$2.402\/FEU, mientras que las de Shangh\u00e1i a Nueva York aumentaron 7% hasta US$2.977\/FEU. La reducci\u00f3n en las cancelaciones de itinerarios tambi\u00e9n refuerza esta tendencia: solo cuatro&nbsp;<em>blank sailings<\/em>&nbsp;han sido anunciados para la pr\u00f3xima semana en las rutas hacia la costa este y oeste de Estados Unidos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Impacto creciente del conflicto en Medio Oriente<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u00e1s all\u00e1 del comportamiento inmediato de las tarifas, el conflicto en el Golfo P\u00e9rsico comienza a generar impactos log\u00edsticos que podr\u00edan alterar el equilibrio del mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los ataques de Estados Unidos e Israel contra Ir\u00e1n han provocado una virtual paralizaci\u00f3n del tr\u00e1nsito de buques tanque por el Estrecho de Ormuz, por donde circula alrededor del 20% del suministro mundial de petr\u00f3leo. Esta situaci\u00f3n ya est\u00e1 presionando al alza los precios del crudo y, potencialmente, los costos del combustible mar\u00edtimo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Drewry&nbsp;<\/em>advierte que, si la situaci\u00f3n se prolonga, \u201cel aumento de los costos del b\u00fanker, las primas de riesgo de guerra y las disrupciones operacionales podr\u00edan incrementar los costos totales del transporte y ejercer presi\u00f3n alcista sobre las tarifas del transporte mar\u00edtimo de contenedores\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En este marco, algunas l\u00edneas navieras ya comenzaron a reaccionar. CMA CGM anunci\u00f3 la aplicaci\u00f3n de un Emergency Fuel Surcharge global, que contempla recargos de US$150\/TEU en rutas principales de larga distancia y US$75\/TEU en rutas de retorno, adem\u00e1s de US$75\/TEU en rutas intrarregionales, con entrada en vigor a partir del 23 de marzo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El analista de la industria mar\u00edtima, Lars Jensen, destac\u00f3 que, pese a las tensiones, algunos operadores regionales contin\u00faan transitando por el sur del Mar Rojo. Seg\u00fan explic\u00f3, \u201cmuchas l\u00edneas navieras regionales siguen cruzando el sur del Mar Rojo, como antes de la guerra entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e1n, mientras que grandes operadores globales como Maersk y CMA CGM han reducido su presencia\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Jensen&nbsp;<\/em>tambi\u00e9n advierte que a\u00fan es prematuro determinar c\u00f3mo se reconfigurar\u00e1n las rutas hacia el Golfo P\u00e9rsico o si el estrecho volver\u00e1 a operar con normalidad. No obstante, plantea que un eventual desv\u00edo de carga podr\u00eda alterar significativamente la demanda efectiva de transporte mar\u00edtimo. \u201cPor cada 20.000 TEUs semanales que se redirijan desde Asia hacia puertos saud\u00edes del Mar Rojo rodeando \u00c1frica, la demanda global en TEU-millas aumentar\u00eda aproximadamente 1%\u201d, explica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Amenazas para los propietarios de carga&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Datos de&nbsp;<em>Xeneta<\/em>&nbsp;muestran 147 buques portacontenedores refugiados en el Golfo P\u00e9rsico, incapaces de salir debido al riesgo de atravesar una zona de conflicto activo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El analista jefe de la plataforma,&nbsp;<em>Peter Sand<\/em>, advierte que el impacto podr\u00eda extenderse r\u00e1pidamente a las cadenas de suministro globales. \u201cLa escalada del conflicto en Medio Oriente demuestra c\u00f3mo una crisis regional puede propagarse r\u00e1pidamente a trav\u00e9s de las cadenas log\u00edsticas, afectando finalmente a los propietarios de carga a nivel global mediante retrasos, congesti\u00f3n portuaria y el aumento de las tarifas de flete\u201d, se\u00f1ala.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para los analistas, el impacto final depender\u00e1 de la duraci\u00f3n y extensi\u00f3n del conflicto. Si las disrupciones persisten, el mercado podr\u00eda enfrentar una combinaci\u00f3n de mayores costos operativos, cambios en las rutas mar\u00edtimas y congesti\u00f3n portuaria, factores que hist\u00f3ricamente han impulsado al alza las tarifas del transporte de contenedores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>De acuerdo con&nbsp;<em>Sand<\/em>, \u201clas cadenas de suministro globales no se detienen ni siquiera durante las crisis m\u00e1s severas; la pregunta es a qu\u00e9 puertos se desviar\u00e1n los buques y d\u00f3nde se descargar\u00e1n los contenedores\u201d, una inc\u00f3gnita que, por ahora, mantiene en alerta a toda la industria mar\u00edtima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>por jpevlogistics.com <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>06\/04\/2026 &#8211; Propietarios de carga pueden verse afectados por retrasos, congesti\u00f3n portuaria y el aumento de las tarifas de flete El transporte mar\u00edtimo de contenedores enfrenta un nuevo foco de incertidumbre tras el recrudecimiento del conflicto en el Golfo P\u00e9rsico, en un contexto en que las tarifas&nbsp;spot&nbsp;comienzan a mostrar se\u00f1ales de recuperaci\u00f3n en determinadas rutas [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":9905,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9904","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sin-categoria"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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